CLAIM: The Seyi Makinde Led Administration Improved Oyo’s IGR Ranking From 13th To 5th And Education From 26th To 11th

Zainab Sanni

On January 2, 2021, a Twitter user named Sodiq Tade claimed there was a significant improvement in the Internally Generated Revenue (IGR) and education ranking of Oyo State within one year of Governor Seyi Makinde’s administration.

The statement read; “Seyi Makinde is doing something in Oyo State that the Country isn’t talking about tbh. The State moved from 26th in terms of education (under APC) to 11th position within the space of the first year in office. The same way he moved Oyo State from 13th position to 5th on the IGR table.

“Governance isn’t about roads alone (although there are hundreds of infrastructural projects going on in Oyo State) Makinde is putting some policies in place that are yielding positive and reasonable results.”

As of the time of putting together this report, the claim had 107 comments and 1400 retweets. The post was also shared on a Facebook Page, Politics Arena, and had recorded 24 comments, 12 shares, and 83 likes as seen at the time of filing this report.

CLAIMS

N-VA extracted the following claims from the tweet.

CLAIM 1:  Seyi Makinde moved the education ranking of Oyo state from 26th to 11th position within the space of one year in office.

CLAIM 2: Seyi Makinde moved Oyo’s rank on the state’s IGR ranking from 13th to 5th within one year in office.

It would be recalled that Governor Seyi Makinde was sworn in as the 28th Executive Governor of Oyo State on 29th May 2019.

POTENTIAL IMPACT OF THE CLAIMS

Revenue generation and education are important benchmarks for scoring development at the state level. The Twitter account from which the claim was made has over 12,000 followers.

Additionally, Seyi Makinde while campaigning to be elected as Oyo State Governor promised a 10% increase in access to quality education at primary and secondary levels for all Oyo State’s eligible children.

Makinde in his campaign manifesto obtained and reviewed by our correspondent also promised an Accelerated Revenue Generation Programme to shore up the revenue base of Oyo State.

Hence, fact-checking these claims is critical for an accurate and informed review of development in Oyo State under the Seyi Makinde-led administration.

DID SEYI MAKINDE IMPROVE OYO’S IGR FROM 13TH TO 5TH POSITION WITHIN ONE YEAR?

To verify this claim, N-VA examined the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) states’ Internally Generated Revenue (IGR) report for the first quarter (Q1) of 2019 to the first quarter (Q1) of 2020.

This covers the period from the last five months spent in office by the immediate past governor of Oyo State, Late Senator Abiola Ajimobi to the time the Seyi Makinde-led administration clocked one year in office. The data for Oyo State as researched and collated by the NBS is highlighted below:

Q1 & Q2  2019 — N14,060,685,978.15 — 13th  Position

Q3 2019 — N20,004,354,521.17 — 12th position

Q4 2019 — N26,746,460,235.93 — 13th Position

H1 2020 — N17,773,591,538.99 — 6th Position


Going by the data obtained from the country’s statistics bureau, while there was significant improvement in Oyo State’s IGR ranking, it was from 12th to 6th position and not from 13th to 5th as claimed by Sodiq Tade in his viral tweet.

DID OYO STATE EDUCATION RANKING MOVE FROM 26TH TO 11TH WITHIN ONE YEAR OF SEYI MAKINDE IN OFFICE?

Seyi Makinde’s election manifesto as obtained and reviewed by our correspondent also claimed that Oyo State was ranked 26th out of 36 states and the FCT in WASSCE 2018 results ranking, the same ranking referenced by Sodiq Tade.

Research by N-VA showed that this ranking as well as another one for 2019 was published on various news blogs, however, multiple web searches did not turn up any ranking list for 2020

The 2018 list appeared on Daily Post, Nairaland, Paradise News(, Afripol, etc while the 2019 list was published by Naijaloaded, Vanguard, and Nairaland.

On August 16, 2019, WAEC in a statement on its official Twitter handle debunked the list stating it was a figment of someone’s imagination. It wrote: “No, the rankings were a figment of someone’s year imagination. It was based on nothing. This same list was circulated last year by online social media. Please, disregard.”

Demian Ojijiogwu, Head of Public Affairs, West African Examination Council, WAEC, in an interview with our correspondent noted that the examination agency has stopped ranking states’ performance in WASSSCE for at least four years now.

WAEC is the coordinating national agency for the WASSCE. Demian noted that the ranking being used by news platforms did not originate from WAEC.

“The ranking list being bandied around did not originate from our office and came from an independent source we know nothing. In fact, the list we came out to debunk in 2019 was merely reproduced from 2018 and we know nothing about it.”

He added that the agency stopped ranking states’ performance as a  result of the controversies it generated.

“We used to do that but we have stopped for about four to five years now. It was creating unhealthy rivalry and political undertones, so we put a stop to it.

“We might inform a local government about their performance in the examination but we no longer do state-based ranking,” he concluded.

The viral WASSCE ranking referenced in the viral tweet does not exist because the examination council has stopped the ranking of states’ performance in the school leaving certificate examination and there is no publicly available data to rank the performance of states in WASSCE.

CONCLUSION


There was a significant improvement in the IGR ranking of Oyo State within the one-year assumption of office by Governor Seyi Makinde but the figures quoted by Sodiq Tade were FALSE and not reflective of the true state of improvement. The VERDICT on the viral claim that Oyo state IGR improved from 13th to 5th position under the Makinde-led administration is FALSE.

On improvement in the education sector, there is no trusted national data to support the claim that Oyo State education ranking has moved from 26th to 11th position. Hence, the VERDICT on the viral claim of improved education ranking for Oyo state is UNPROVEN.

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